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table of contents
  1. Half Title Page
  2. Beyond Boundaries Series
  3. Title Page
  4. Copyright
  5. Contents
  6. Acronyms
  7. Acknowledgements
  8. Introduction - The War of 196?
  9. Part 1 - Imminence of War, 1944–1954
    1. 1 - A Third World War in the Making?
    2. 2 - Agreed Intelligence
    3. 3 - The Most Important Question
  10. Part 2 - Indications of War, 1954–1966
    1. 4 - The Origins of Indications Intelligence
    2. 5 - The Tripartite Intelligence Alerts Agreement
    3. 6 - The Alerts Agreement in Action
    4. Conclusion - A Semi-Dormant but Continuing Agreement
  11. Notes
  12. Bibliography
  13. Index

© 2025 Timothy A. Sayle

University of Calgary Press

2500 University Drive NW

Calgary, Alberta

Canada T2N 1N4

press.ucalgary.ca

All rights reserved.

This book is available in an Open Access digital format published under a CC-BY-NCND 4.0 Creative Commons license. The publisher should be contacted for any commercial use which falls outside the terms of that license.

Library and Archives Canada Cataloguing in Publication

Title: The next war : indications intelligence in the early Cold War / Timothy Andrews Sayle.

Names: Sayle, Timothy A., author

Series: Beyond boundaries series ; no. 14.

Description: Series statement: Canadian defence and strategic studies series, 1716-2645 ; no. 14 | Includes bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: Canadiana (print) 20250142325 | Canadiana (ebook) 20250142384 | ISBN 9781773856230 (softcover) | ISBN 9781773856223 (hardcover) | ISBN 9781773856247 (PDF) | ISBN 9781773856254 (EPUB) | ISBN 9781773856261 (Open Access PDF)

Subjects: LCSH: Intelligence service—Canada. | LCSH: Intelligence service—United States. | LCSH: Intelligence service—Great Britain. | LCSH: Cold War.

Classification: LCC JF1525.I6 S29 2025 | DDC 327.1209/045—dc23

The University of Calgary Press acknowledges the support of the Government of Alberta through the Alberta Media Fund for our publications. We acknowledge the financial support of the Government of Canada. We acknowledge the financial support of the Canada Council for the Arts for our publishing program.

Funder Logos: Alberta government, Government of Canada, Canada Council for the Arts.

The manufacturer’s authorized representative in the EU for product safety is Mare Nostrum Group B.V., Mauritskade 21D, 1091 GC Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Email: gpsr@mare-nostrum.co.uk

Copy editing by Kelly Laycock

Cover image: “1928 Russian Map of Soviet Caucasus,” from Atlas of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, ed. Central Executive Committee of the USSR, 1928, Wikimedia, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:1928_Russian_map_of_Soviet_Caucasus.jpg.

Cover design, page design, and typesetting by Melina Cusano

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